EXPO Operating Framework
Everything that runs EXPO — the methodology we sell, the playbooks we deliver, how we go to market, and how we run the business — rendered for the web. Use the menu to move between documents. The two tools (ROI Model and Readiness Scorecard) are live calculators.
THE THESIS
Restaurant operators run 3–5% margins with a back office on spreadsheets. The tools to fix it exist; adoption is the missing piece. EXPO formalizes a fast, accountable operating cadence — daily signal, weekly review, period close — and layers AI on the highest-volume work first. Latency is the enemy; we shrink it.
The framework at a glance
EXPO treats a restaurant group as four value streams, run on a fixed operating cadence. Every improvement, AI use case, and KPI is tagged to a stream.
Order → kitchen → expo → service → payment → feedback.
Purchasing → inventory → recipe → waste → food cost.
Hire → onboard → schedule → develop → retain.
Sales → reconciliation → AP → payroll → period close.
What's inside
- Methodology — the sellable IP: principles, operating-system model, the SAFe/Agile→ops translation, the eight wastes, the maturity model, and the metrics framework.
- Consulting Playbooks — engagement SOPs, the SOW template, and two live tools (ROI Model, Readiness Scorecard).
- Go-To-Market — ICP, outreach, discovery, proposals, packaging, objections, KPIs.
- Business Operations — roles & RACI, onboarding, internal cadence, tooling, KPIs, revenue model.
- Case Studies — three end-to-end worked examples across the maturity range.
Confidential — internal & client-engagement use. © EXPO Restaurant Agile.
1. The Thesis
Restaurant operators run some of the hardest businesses in the economy: net margins of 3–5%, prime costs (food + labor) routinely at 55–65% of revenue, hourly turnover near 96% in full-service and 135% in limited-service, and a back office still run on spreadsheets, paper invoices, and email. The tools to fix this exist. Adoption — not technology — is the missing piece.
The single most important insight behind EXPO: latency is the enemy. Almost every operational and back-office problem reduces to the same shape — data is captured manually, reconciled monthly, and the problem is discovered too late to act on. A vendor price hike, a labor overrun, a food-cost variance, an at-risk employee: each is knowable days or weeks before it shows up in the P&L.
WHAT EXPO IS
EXPO formalizes a fast, accountable operating cadence — daily signal, weekly review, period close — and layers AI on the highest-volume, most repetitive work first. We are not inventing new rituals. Great multi-unit operators already run pre-shift huddles, line checks, weekly prime-cost reviews, and period closes. We turn those into a disciplined, measurable operating system and connect them to the data and automation that make them work in the rush.
The unfair advantage. EXPO is built by the rare overlap of a 20-year software engineer and a 20-year restaurant operator. Most restaurant technology is built by engineers who have never run a Friday night, or by operators who cannot ship software. The operator ensures we build the right thing; the engineer ensures we build the thing right. That overlap is the entire moat — and it is exactly what an operator needs to adopt AI with confidence.
Why operational change usually fails — and how EXPO is designed against it
Roughly 70% of change initiatives and over 80% of AI projects fail. In restaurants the odds are worse because of conditions the framework must respect:
| Failure mode | How EXPO is designed against it |
|---|---|
| Change fatigue / “initiative of the month” | One cadence, not a parade of programs. We formalize rituals operators already believe in. |
| Turnover destroys training investment | Operating standards live in the system and the cadence, not in any one person’s head. |
| Thin margins = zero slack to learn tools | Land on ONE high-ROI workflow; prove it in a pilot before asking for more. |
| “Works in the demo, not in the rush” | Every standard must be inspectable and survive a Saturday night, or it doesn’t ship. |
| No accountability / weak sponsorship | A defined cadence with owners, decision rights, and visible metrics — a chain of help, not a chain of command. |
| Tool sprawl, data not trusted | Orchestrate the tools operators already own; fix data readiness before automating. |
Design principle: AI won’t save a broken system — it will just make the mess move faster. EXPO installs the operating system first, then the intelligence.
2. The Seven Principles of Restaurant-Agile
These principles adapt the Agile Manifesto, Lean thinking, and SAFe’s Lean-Agile mindset to the realities of a restaurant. They are the values every EXPO engagement, product decision, and operating standard is measured against.
1. The guest defines value. Value is what the guest would pay for. Every step in an operation is value-adding, necessary-but-non-value-adding, or waste. We relentlessly remove the third and shrink the second.
2. Run on a cadence. Fixed rhythms beat heroics. A predictable beat — pre-shift, shift, weekly review, period close — creates alignment, surfaces problems early, and makes improvement routine rather than reactive.
3. Shrink the latency. The faster a signal reaches the person who can act, the cheaper the fix. Optimize for time-to-signal and time-to-decision, not just for reports.
4. Make the work visible. Targets, blockers, and flow are posted where the team can see them. Transparency builds trust and removes the guesswork that hides waste.
5. Improve relentlessly, in small steps. Kaizen over big-bang. Every period ends with a structured review and one or two changes carried into the next. Small, compounding improvements beat heroic reinventions.
6. Respect the people closest to the work. The line knows what breaks. The frontline does not resist change — it resists friction. Decisions and problem-solving authority move toward the people doing the job.
7. Build in quality and standards. Quality and food safety are not inspected in at the end; they are built into every station, every shift, with a clear Definition of Done. If a procedure can’t be inspected and scored, it won’t be followed.
3. The Restaurant-Agile Operating System
The framework treats a restaurant group as a set of value streams run on a cadence by clear roles using a small set of artifacts. This is the SAFe idea — align many teams to enterprise outcomes on a fixed heartbeat — translated to above-store operations.
3.1 Value streams
We map operations into value streams so improvement targets a flow, not a department. The four core operational value streams in any restaurant:
Guest-to-Table — order → kitchen → expo → service → payment → feedback (speed, accuracy, experience).
Plate-to-Profit — purchasing → receiving → inventory → recipe/portion → waste → food cost.
People-to-Performance — hire → onboard → schedule → develop → retain (labor cost, turnover).
Cash-to-Close — sales capture → reconciliation → AP/payables → payroll → period close (back-office accuracy & speed).
Every EXPO improvement, AI use case, and KPI is tagged to one of these streams. This keeps work focused and makes ROI legible.
3.2 The operating cadence
The heartbeat of the system. Each cadence has a fixed purpose, owner, timebox, and output — the restaurant translation of Agile ceremonies.
| Cadence | Agile equivalent | Purpose & output | Timebox / owner |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre-shift huddle | Daily standup | Align on covers, 86’d items, today’s one target, blockers. Output: a focused shift. | 5–10 min / Shift lead |
| Line check | Definition of Done | Verify mise, spec, labeling, temperatures (CCP). Output: a shift that meets standard before doors open. | Per shift / KM + MOD |
| The shift / week | Sprint | A fixed container with one clear, measurable goal and an owner. | 1 shift–1 week / GM |
| Daily flash | Burndown | Sales vs forecast, labor %, key variances surfaced same-day. Output: same-day corrective action. | Daily / GM |
| Weekly prime-cost review | Sprint review | Inspect prime cost and the week’s target with the team. Output: decisions for next week. | 30–45 min / GM + above-store |
| Period retrospective | Retrospective | What worked, what didn’t, what we change. Output: 1–2 improvements into the backlog. | Per period / GM + team |
| Above-store business review | PI Planning / portfolio sync | Multi-unit alignment on a shared mission, KPIs, and the improvement portfolio. | Per period / District + Ops |
3.3 Artifacts
Operations Backlog — the single, ROI-ranked queue of every improvement, fix, and AI initiative. Prioritized, not driven by who shouts loudest.
The Board — a visible work-in-progress view (prep, expo, station flow; and the above-store improvement board) with WIP limits.
Definition of Done — the shared quality and food-safety standard a shift, station, or task must meet to be “done.”
The Scorecard — the standardized KPI pack every unit reports on, same metrics, same format, same cadence.
The Operating Standards Library — inspectable SOPs; the institutional memory that survives turnover.
3.4 Roles & accountabilities
Adapted from Scrum’s accountabilities (2020) and restaurant above-store structure. One accountable owner per outcome.
| EXPO role | Held by (typical) | Accountable for |
|---|---|---|
| Value Owner | GM / Owner / Ops director | Maximizing the value of a unit or value stream; owns and orders the Operations Backlog. |
| Flow Lead | AGM / Shift lead / District (above-store) | The cadence runs; impediments are removed; the team can self-manage. A servant-leader, not a cop. |
| The Crew | FOH + BOH team | Executing to the Definition of Done and surfacing problems early — the people closest to the work. |
| Portfolio Steward | Director of Ops / COO | Aligning the multi-unit improvement portfolio to strategy and funding the value streams, not pet projects. |
THE CHAIN OF HELP
EXPO reframes the chain of command as a chain of help. Above-store leaders are coaches and impediment-removers first, inspectors second. This is the cultural foundation (Respect for People) that makes the cadence sustainable through turnover.
4. The SAFe / Agile → Restaurant Operations Translation
The disciplines that made software teams dramatically more productive map cleanly onto restaurant operations. This translation is the heart of the EXPO IP — it is what makes a proven management system legible and credible to operators.
| Software / SAFe concept | Restaurant-Agile translation | What it delivers |
|---|---|---|
| Sprint | The operating week / shift | A fixed cadence with a clear goal, owner, and measurable outcome. |
| Daily standup | Pre-shift huddle | 3-minute alignment: today’s targets, blockers, the one thing that matters. |
| Product backlog | Operations improvement queue | Every idea and fix, ROI-ranked — not driven by the loudest voice. |
| Definition of Done | Line-check & food-safety standard | Quality and safety built in, station by station, before doors open. |
| Retrospective | Period review | What worked, what didn’t, what changes next period — captured, not forgotten. |
| Value stream | Guest-to-table & plate-to-profit flow | End-to-end visibility from order to table and purchase to profit; bottlenecks made visible. |
| Kanban board / WIP limits | Prep, expo & station flow | Work-in-progress limits and clear hand-offs across the kitchen. |
| Burndown / flow metrics | Daily flash report | Same-day visibility of sales vs forecast, labor %, and variances. |
| PI Planning | Above-store business review | Periodic multi-unit alignment on mission, KPIs, and the improvement portfolio. |
| Lean Portfolio Mgmt | Multi-unit command & funding | Funding value streams (not pet projects) across concepts and regions. |
| Agile Release Train | The district / region | A long-lived team-of-teams delivering together on a shared cadence. |
Credibility note. EXPO uses current terminology so the framework holds up with practitioners: Scrum (2020) “accountabilities,” and SAFe 6.0 core values — Alignment, Transparency, Respect for People, Relentless Improvement. We reference these as the lineage of the method, not as jargon to impose on operators.
5. The Eight Wastes, on the Line
Lean’s eight wastes (mnemonic DOWNTIME) are a practical lens for any current-state assessment. Here they are translated to a restaurant, with the signal EXPO uses to detect each.
| Waste | In a restaurant | EXPO signal |
|---|---|---|
| Defects | Remakes, sent-back dishes, wrong orders, comps/voids | Comp/void %, remake rate, order accuracy |
| Overproduction | Over-prep, batch cooking ahead of demand | Theoretical-vs-actual usage; waste log |
| Waiting | Tickets stalled, staff idle, guests waiting | Ticket time, table turns, labor vs covers |
| Non-utilized talent | Skilled staff doing low-value manual reconciliation | Hours on manual back-office tasks |
| Transportation | Inefficient runner paths, poor kitchen layout | Steps per order; expo bottlenecks |
| Inventory | Excess stock, spoilage, cash tied up | Inventory turns; spoilage / waste % |
| Motion | Disorganized stations, items out of reach | Line-check findings; station audits |
| Extra-processing | Manual invoice entry, double data entry, rekeying | AP cost-per-invoice; hours reconciling |
THE BACK-OFFICE WEDGE
Two wastes — non-utilized talent and extra-processing — concentrate in the back office (manual AP, double entry, midnight reconciliation). They are the lowest-risk, fastest-ROI place to start with automation, which is why EXPO lands there first.
6. The EXPO Operating Maturity Model
A five-level model that lets an operator see where they are and what “better” looks like. The levels are deliberately tied to the real breakpoints where multi-unit groups break — so the model doubles as a scaling diagnostic.
| Level | Name | What it looks like | Typical scale / breakpoint |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heroic | The owner is the system. Nothing documented; quality travels with presence. Reactive firefighting. | 1–2 units (the 2nd location is the first real test) |
| 2 | Standardized | SOPs exist and are inspectable. Pre-shift, line checks, and a weekly review run consistently. | 3–7 units (consistency starts to break) |
| 3 | Measured | A common scorecard across units; daily flash and weekly prime-cost reviews drive decisions. Data is trusted. | 8–20 units (visibility & accountability break) |
| 4 | Connected | Tools are integrated; AI runs the highest-volume back-office work; an improvement backlog is funded and prioritized. | 20–50 units (reporting/vendor/compliance break) |
| 5 | Self-improving | Relentless improvement is cultural. Predictive operations, benchmarking across the portfolio, continuous kaizen. | 50+ units / multi-concept |
Most operators sit between Levels 2 and 3 and stall there. EXPO engagements are scoped to move a client up exactly one level at a time — never a leap — because skipped foundations are why transformations collapse.
How we score it
Each value stream is scored 1–5 across five dimensions: Standards (are SOPs inspectable?), Cadence (does the rhythm run?), Data (is it trusted and timely?), People (is the chain-of-help in place?), and Technology/AI (are the right tools integrated?). The full instrument is the Readiness Assessment Scorecard in the Consulting Playbooks.
7. The Metrics Framework
Everything anchors to prime cost. It is the metric spine of the framework: the sum of food, beverage, and labor cost, the largest controllable block of the P&L, and the fastest lever on a 3–5% net margin.
PRIME COST — THE NORTH-STAR
Prime cost = (Food + Beverage COGS) + Total Labor, as a % of sales. Target ≤ 60% (full-service gold standard; up to ~65% acceptable). On a 4% net margin, a single point of prime cost is roughly a 25% swing in unit profit. We review it weekly, not monthly — catching a spike in days instead of weeks.
The standard EXPO scorecard, organized by value stream, with industry reference ranges (2024–2025). Reference ranges are targets, not guarantees; each client’s baseline is captured in the Readiness Sprint.
| Metric | Value stream | Reference range / target | Source basis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Prime cost % | Cash-to-Close | ≤ 60% (≤ 65% acceptable FSR) | Industry target |
| Food cost % | Plate-to-Profit | 28–35% (≈32% FSR avg) | Industry consensus |
| Labor cost % | People-to-Performance | FSR med. 36.5% · LSR 31.7% | NRA 2024 (900+ operators) |
| Sales per labor hour | People-to-Performance | Benchmark to own history | Operator metric |
| Hourly turnover % | People-to-Performance | FSR ≈ 96% · LSR ≈ 135% | Black Box 2024 |
| Cost to replace (hourly) | People-to-Performance | ≈ $2,305 / departure | Black Box 2024 |
| Ticket time / speed | Guest-to-Table | Drive-thru avg 5:29; dine-in to own target | QSR/Intouch 2024 |
| Comp & void % | Guest-to-Table | Voids < 1–2% of sales (policy) | Operator target |
| Inventory variance (T vs A) | Plate-to-Profit | Theoretical within ~1 pt of actual | Operator target |
| AP invoices auto-coded % | Cash-to-Close | Target 90%+ with automation | EXPO target |
| Guest satisfaction (ACSI/NPS) | Guest-to-Table | ACSI: FSR 82 · QSR 79; NPS 50+ strong | ACSI 2025 / benchmark |
Profitability context: in 2025, an estimated 42% of operators were unprofitable (up from 29%), with food and labor costs roughly 35–38% above 2019 levels. Small, durable cost improvements are therefore disproportionately valuable.
8. How AI Plugs Into the System
AI is the intelligence layer on top of the operating system — never a replacement for it. We deploy it on the highest-volume, most repetitive, lowest-risk work first, where data is most available and ROI rests on verified industry economics rather than vendor hype.
8.1 The adoption wedge (sequence matters)
Roughly 95% of enterprise AI pilots deliver no measurable P&L impact — almost always because of integration and fit, not model quality. EXPO beats that by design: one use case, one site, human-in-the-loop, a go/no-go gate.
| Wave | Use case | Why here | Value stream |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 — Land | AP / invoice automation | Highest-volume, lowest-risk, clean back-office ROI; fixes data at the source. | Cash-to-Close |
| 1 — Land | Inventory & food-cost variance | Item-level invoice data → recipe costing → waste signal. | Plate-to-Profit |
| 2 — Expand | Demand forecasting | Drives prep, ordering, and scheduling once data is clean. | All |
| 2 — Expand | AI labor scheduling | Demand-matched schedules; OT and compliance guardrails. | People-to-Performance |
| 2 — Expand | Retention / attrition signals | Flag at-risk team members early; manager playbook. | People-to-Performance |
| 3 — Compound | Guest sentiment & review intelligence | NLP on reviews to surface operational issues by unit. | Guest-to-Table |
| 3 — Compound | Predictive P&L & benchmarking | Scenario planning and portfolio benchmarking. | Cash-to-Close |
Deliberately late-wave and high-caution: full dynamic pricing (consumer backlash risk) and drive-thru voice AI (publicly documented failures, biometric/BIPA exposure). EXPO treats these as later, opt-in, and never as the pilot.
8.2 The data-readiness gate
Only about 7% of enterprises say their data is fully AI-ready; the #1 obstacle is siloed data. Restaurants are worse: ~69% run multiple, non-integrated systems. No AI use case ships until its data gate is met — for example, forecasting needs 12+ months of cleanly-named POS history; food-cost AI needs item-level invoice data tied to recipes. Closing this gate is itself a core EXPO deliverable.
8.3 Governance guardrails
Human-in-the-loop with clear escalation on anything guest- or money-facing.
Disclose AI use to guests; never label pricing “dynamic” or “surge.”
Vendor due diligence on biometric/voice data handling (BIPA exposure is real and active).
A lightweight written AI policy with employee acknowledgement.
Position AI as augmenting staff — matching the ~70% operator belief that technology should augment, not replace, labor.
9. Glossary & Sources
Key terms
Prime cost — Food + Beverage COGS + total labor, as a % of sales. EXPO’s north-star metric.
Value stream — the end-to-end flow that delivers value to a guest or to the P&L.
Cadence — a fixed-rhythm operating ritual with a purpose, owner, timebox, and output.
Definition of Done — the shared quality/food-safety standard a shift or task must meet.
Operations Backlog — the single, ROI-ranked queue of improvements and AI initiatives.
Theoretical vs Actual (T vs A) — expected vs real usage/cost; the core food-cost variance signal.
Selected sources
National Restaurant Association — State of the Industry 2025; Labor & Profitability 2024 (labor 36.5% / 31.7%).
Black Box Intelligence — State of the Workforce 2024 (turnover 96% / 135%; cost-to-replace).
ACSI Restaurant Study 2025 (satisfaction benchmarks).
Deloitte — How AI Is Revolutionizing Restaurants, 2025 (82% increasing AI investment; top blockers).
MIT NANDA / RAND / BCG / McKinsey, 2024–2025 (AI pilot failure rates; data readiness).
Scaled Agile — SAFe 6.0 core values & configurations; Scrum Guide 2020; Agile Manifesto; Lean (Toyota Production System).
Full source URLs are maintained in the EXPO research file. Figures labeled as targets are industry rules-of-thumb; figures attributed to named studies are research-grade.
1. The Engagement Arc
Every EXPO relationship follows a four-phase arc. Each phase is sold as a separately-priced, standalone module with an explicit go/no-go gate between them. Selling phases independently — and letting the client stop cleanly after any one — is deliberate risk reversal: it lowers the client’s perceived commitment and raises close rates. Most clients continue once the first phase proves value.
| Phase | EXPO package | Objective | Gate to next |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 · Assess | Readiness Sprint | Understand current state, surface root problems, rank opportunities by ROI. | Client approves the roadmap scope & priorities |
| 2 · Plan | Transformation Roadmap | Design the target operating model and a phased, costed rollout plan. | Client approves the pilot plan, scope & price |
| 3 · Implement | Embedded On-Ramp | Stand up the cadence + 2–3 AI use cases in pilot units; prove the numbers. | Pilot meets exit criteria; expand decision |
| 4 · Sustain | Fractional Chief AI & Ops Officer | Sustain momentum, expand across the portfolio, govern the platform. | Renew / expand |
LAND AND EXPAND
Price the initial “land” for psychological comfort, not maximum revenue — a focused pilot a department head can approve, not a six-figure commitment that triggers procurement. Deploy a senior partner first; expand horizontally (new units), vertically (up to execs), and in depth (scope) once trust compounds. Most revenue is in the expansion, not the land.
2. Package A — Readiness Sprint
Duration 2–3 weeks, fixed scope. Objective Map current state across a representative slice of units and rank every AI & automation opportunity by ROI.
Week-by-week
| Stage | Activities | Output |
|---|---|---|
| Week 1 — Discover | Kickoff; data access; stakeholder interviews (8–12 across ops, finance, GMs, line); pull POS/payroll/AP data; observe 2–3 shifts. | Current-state notes; data inventory |
| Week 2 — Assess | Value-stream mapping; score the Maturity Model (5 dimensions × 4 streams); identify the 8 wastes; benchmark KPIs vs reference ranges. | Maturity scorecard; KPI baseline |
| Week 2–3 — Prioritize | Build the opportunity backlog; score with RICE; effort/impact triage; draft ROI model with the client’s real numbers. | ROI-ranked opportunity backlog |
| Week 3 — Present | Findings readout to leadership; recommended Wave-1 pilot; proposal for the Roadmap phase. | Readout deck; go/no-go |
Deliverables
Readiness Scorecard — Maturity Model scores by value stream with the binding constraints flagged.
Prioritized Opportunity Backlog — every AI/automation opportunity, RICE-scored.
Baseline ROI Model — populated with the client’s actual numbers (the EXPO ROI Model workbook).
Findings & Recommendations readout — the case for the Wave-1 pilot.
Exit criteria Validated scope, confirmed data access and stakeholder availability, a working delivery rhythm, and a client decision: continue / rescope / stop cleanly.
3. Package B — Transformation Roadmap
Duration 6–8 weeks, executive engagement. Objective Convert the prioritized backlog into a target operating model and a phased, costed rollout plan with a change-management playbook.
Workstreams
Operating-model design — the cadence, roles, artifacts, and Definition of Done tailored to the client; the move from their current maturity level to the next.
Tooling & data plan — integration map, the data-readiness gates, build-vs-buy (buy from specialists), vendor shortlist.
Pilot design — the Wave-1 use case(s), pilot units, SMART objectives, exit criteria, and measurement plan.
Change-management plan — stakeholder map, communication plan, sponsor roadmap, resistance plan.
Business case — the costed roadmap and the ROI model, with a clear options paper.
Deliverables
Target Operating Model document (cadence, roles, artifacts, standards).
Options paper — typically 3 options with trade-offs, costs, and a recommendation.
Phased rollout plan — milestones, owners, dependencies, KPIs.
Change-management playbook — comms, sponsorship, training, resistance.
Business case & ROI model — board-ready.
Exit criteria Client approves the roadmap, scope, and price; KPIs and acceptance criteria are locked before any implementation begins.
4. Package C — Embedded On-Ramp
Duration 90-day pilot, hands-on. Objective Implement 2–3 AI use cases in pilot units, stand up the operating cadence, train the teams, then measure and tune — and prove the numbers before any portfolio-wide commitment.
| Phase | Activities | Gate |
|---|---|---|
| Days 0–15 — Stand up | Configure tools & integrations; meet data-readiness gates; install the cadence (huddle, flash, weekly review); train managers. | Cadence live; data flowing |
| Days 15–60 — Run | Run Wave-1 use cases human-in-the-loop; weekly prime-cost reviews; remove impediments; coach the chain-of-help. | Mid-point review vs SMART targets |
| Days 60–90 — Prove | Measure against baseline; period retrospective; document standards; build the expansion case. | Exit review: scale / rescope / stop |
Pilot exit criteria (example, set per engagement)
≥ 40% reduction in manual hours on the targeted back-office task.
≥ 90% AP invoices auto-coded with human-in-the-loop review.
Measurable movement on the targeted prime-cost lever vs baseline.
Cadence adopted: huddles, flash, and weekly review running without EXPO present.
WHY PILOTS DRIFT — AND HOW WE PREVENT IT
Pilots fail when they lack one precise SMART objective and explicit exit criteria — expenses accrue and learning slows. Every EXPO pilot is time-boxed with a single objective per use case and a three-way exit: Continue, Rescope (short change order), or Stop (clean handover + final invoice).
Then: a Fractional Chief AI & Ops Officer partnership sustains momentum and governs the rollout across the portfolio.
5. Discovery & Assessment Methods
5.1 Stakeholder interviews
Run early; use semi-structured 45-minute one-on-ones (a guide, not a script). Stay neutral, listen actively. Structure each guide around four areas: success metrics, priorities, history/expertise, and process/workflow. Always close with “Who else should I speak to?” to surface stakeholders and earn warm intros. Loop a synthesis summary back to confirm understanding.
5.2 Current-state assessment
Start with value-stream mapping (strategic, end-to-end) then process mapping (specific bottlenecks). Classify each step as value-adding, necessary-non-value-adding, or waste, using the eight wastes. Plot the org on the EXPO Maturity Model. Use real measurements, not estimates. The current-state vs target-state gap is the roadmap.
5.3 Opportunity prioritization — a tiered toolkit
| Tool | Use when | Formula |
|---|---|---|
| Effort/Impact 2×2 | Fast workshop triage | Quick wins / Big bets / Fill-ins / Thankless |
| ICE | Ranking many ideas quickly | Impact × Confidence × Ease (each 1–10) |
| RICE | Roadmap decisions you must justify | (Reach × Impact × Confidence) ÷ Effort |
EXPO standard: triage with Effort/Impact, then RICE-score the top contenders for the backlog. RICE Impact uses a fixed scale (Massive 3 / High 2 / Medium 1 / Low 0.5 / Minimal 0.25); Confidence (High 100% / Medium 80% / Low 50%); Effort in person-weeks.
5.4 Readiness dimensions
Pair the EXPO Maturity Model with a transformation-readiness lens. Data infrastructure & quality is almost always the binding constraint — score it honestly. External benchmarking is the step most often skipped; without it, scores are self-referential. The full instrument is the Readiness Assessment Scorecard workbook.
6. Change Management
Operating-model change succeeds or fails on adoption, not design. EXPO runs Kotter at the program level and ADKAR at the individual level.
| ADKAR (individual) | What it means | EXPO move |
|---|---|---|
| Awareness | Of the need for change (the why) | Sponsor delivers the business case; share the baseline |
| Desire | To participate (WIIFM) — the hardest | Managers deliver personal-impact messages; show the win |
| Knowledge | Of how to change | Hands-on training in the cadence and tools |
| Ability | To apply it in the rush | Coaching on shift; impediment removal |
| Reinforcement | To sustain it | Cadence, scorecard, recognition; don’t let up |
Preferred senders: executives deliver the “why”; immediate managers deliver the personal-impact “WIIFM.” Never let the project team be the only voice.
Communicate key messages 5–7 times; start sooner than feels necessary; favor two-way channels.
More than half of resistance is avoidable — prevent it with early change management, not reaction. Mid-level managers are typically the most resistant group.
Active, visible sponsorship is the single biggest contributor to change success. Equip sponsors; don’t substitute for them.
7. Delivery Standards (Definition of Done)
EXPO eats its own cooking: our deliverables run on a cadence and a Definition of Done.
The rule of 3 — every workstream defines three outcomes, three primary deliverables, and three KPIs. It keeps acceptance enforceable.
Every deliverable has SMART, testable acceptance criteria agreed before work starts, and a named approver.
Senior partner sign-off before any deliverable ships to a client; peer review on models and ROI math (zero formula errors).
One issue log, weekly cadence, and a defined escalation path per engagement.
Reusable assets (decks, models, templates) are captured into the EXPO knowledge library after every engagement, version-controlled.
EXPO · RESTAURANT AGILE
TEMPLATE
Statement of Work
Reusable EXPO engagement contract template. Replace every [bracketed] field. Delete guidance notes (in italics) before sending.
Document SOW Template
Owner EXPO — Restaurant Agile
Version 1.0
Use Duplicate per engagement
CONFIDENTIAL — Internal & client-engagement use. © EXPO Restaurant Agile.
This Statement of Work (“SOW”) is entered into as of [Date] by and between EXPO Restaurant Agile (“EXPO”) and [Client Legal Name] (“Client”), and is governed by the Master Services Agreement between the parties.
1. Background & Objectives
Client operates [#] restaurants across [concepts/regions]. EXPO will deliver the [Readiness Sprint / Transformation Roadmap / Embedded On-Ramp] engagement. The measurable business outcomes of this SOW are:
[Outcome 1 — measurable]
[Outcome 2 — measurable]
[Outcome 3 — measurable]
Guidance: state 1–3 outcome-based results, not tasks. Outcomes drive acceptance.
2. Scope of Work (In Scope)
EXPO will perform the following workstreams:
[Workstream 1]
[Workstream 2]
[Workstream 3]
3. Out of Scope
The following are expressly excluded and, if required, will be handled via a change order:
[Excluded item 1]
[Excluded item 2 — e.g., software development, hardware, third-party fees]
Guidance: an explicit out-of-scope list is the single most effective anti-scope-creep mechanism.
4. Assumptions & Client Dependencies
This SOW assumes the following Client-provided inputs. Delays may affect timeline and fees:
Read access to POS, payroll, and accounting data within [X] business days of kickoff
A named executive sponsor and a single point of contact
Stakeholder availability for interviews and the weekly cadence
Timely approvals within the defined review windows
5. Deliverables & Acceptance Criteria
| Deliverable | Format | Acceptance criteria | Due |
|---|---|---|---|
| [Deliverable 1] | [docx/xlsx/deck] | [SMART, testable] | [Wk X] |
| [Deliverable 2] | [ ] | [ ] | [ ] |
| [Deliverable 3] | [ ] | [ ] | [ ] |
Each deliverable is deemed accepted upon written sign-off by [Approver], or after [5] business days without written objection.
6. Key Performance Indicators
Success is measured against the following KPIs, each with a definition, baseline, and target captured at kickoff:
[KPI 1 — definition / baseline / target / source]
[KPI 2 …]
[KPI 3 …]
7. Timeline & Milestones
Engagement runs [start] to [end], on the following milestones:
[Milestone 1 — date]
[Milestone 2 — date]
[Go/no-go gate — date]
8. Governance
A weekly cadence call; a single shared issue log; decision rights per the RACI below; escalation to the executive sponsor within [24] hours of an unresolved blocker.
EXPO lead: [name]
Client sponsor: [name]
Client point of contact: [name]
9. Change Control
Any change to scope, schedule, or fees is requested in writing, assessed by both parties for impact, and, if approved, documented as a signed change order before work proceeds.
10. Commercial Terms
| Item | Terms |
|---|---|
| Fee model | [Fixed fee / retainer / not-to-exceed T&M] |
| Total fee | [$ amount] |
| Deposit | [30–50]% due on signature |
| Billing schedule | [e.g., 30% signature / 30% phase 1 / 20% phase 2 / 20% final] |
| Expenses | Pre-approved travel/expenses billed at cost |
| Payment terms | Net 30 from invoice date |
| Late payment | 1.5% per month (18% APR) on overdue balances; EXPO may suspend work on overdue invoices |
11. Confidentiality & Data Handling
Each party protects the other’s confidential information; obligations survive [7] years. Client data is handled per the MSA and applicable privacy law; biometric/voice data, if any, is handled under a separate addendum.
12. Intellectual Property
Client owns the work product created specifically for Client. EXPO retains ownership of its pre-existing and background IP and methodology (the Restaurant-Agile Framework, templates, models, and tools), and grants Client a non-exclusive license to use them for its internal operations.
13. Term, Termination & Handover
Either party may terminate for convenience on [15] days’ written notice. On termination, EXPO delivers work-in-progress, returns or destroys Client materials as directed, and provides a clean handover. Fees for work performed through the termination date are due.
14. Acceptance
Agreed and accepted by the authorized representatives of the parties:
| EXPO — Restaurant Agile | [Client Legal Name] |
|---|---|
| Signature: ____________________ | Signature: ____________________ |
| Name / Title: [ ] | Name / Title: [ ] |
| Date: [ ] | Date: [ ] |
ROI Model — Interactive
Edit the inputs; results recalculate instantly. Mirrors the Excel tool — no spreadsheet required. Illustrative; replace defaults with a client's actuals during the Readiness Sprint.
Operator inputs
Improvement assumptions
Results
Readiness Scorecard — Interactive
Score each value stream 1–5 across the five dimensions. The overall score and maturity level update live. Mirrors the Excel tool.
| Value stream \ Dimension | Standards | Cadence | Data | People | Technology / AI | Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dimension average | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Scale: 1 Heroic · 2 Standardized · 3 Measured · 4 Connected · 5 Self-improving. Dimensions — Standards (inspectable SOPs) · Cadence (does the rhythm run?) · Data (trusted & timely?) · People (chain-of-help?) · Technology/AI (right tools integrated?).
1. Ideal Client Profile (ICP)
EXPO wins by going narrow. A tight, single-segment ICP produces higher win rates than chasing volume. The ICP defines which accounts we pursue; buyer personas (below) drive the message.
Firmographic
Multi-unit restaurant operators and franchisees, ~5–150 units (sweet spot 8–60 — past the breakpoints where consistency, visibility, and reporting break).
Full-service, fast-casual, and franchise QSR; single- or multi-concept groups.
Regionally concentrated, family- or partner-owned, professionalizing their back office.
$15M–$750M revenue; profitable but margin-squeezed; actively investing in technology.
Intent / trigger signals
Recent acquisition or unit growth (integration pain), new CFO/COO/Director of Ops, or a stated efficiency/AI initiative.
Multiple disconnected systems (POS + scheduling + accounting not integrated).
Hiring above-store leadership or back-office roles; public commentary on labor/margin pressure.
MARQUEE TARGET PROFILE — DOHERTY ENTERPRISES
160+ restaurants, ~$540M revenue, 7 concepts, family-owned, regionally concentrated (NJ/NY). Exactly the operator squeezed by labor and food cost with a back office ripe for AI, and large enough that a single point of margin is millions. Use this profile to build the target account list: regional multi-concept franchisees ranked in the Restaurant Finance Monitor Top 200 Franchisees.
2. Buyer Personas & Multithreading
B2B buying groups average ~11 stakeholders. Identify and message each; never email two contacts at one account simultaneously (they backchannel and it can flag spam).
| Persona | Cares about | Lead message |
|---|---|---|
| Owner / CEO | Growth, margin, legacy, risk | Run the whole group like one elite kitchen; protect the brand while you scale. |
| COO / Director of Ops | Consistency, above-store control, execution | One cadence and scorecard across every unit; visibility that survives turnover. |
| CFO / Controller | Margin, cash, back-office cost, ROI | Kill the midnight reconciliation; move prime cost a point; hard ROI in 90 days. |
| IT / Innovation lead | Integration, data, risk, adoption | Orchestrate the tools you own; adopt AI safely, pilot-first, with governance. |
3. Outreach
3.1 Deliverability (non-negotiable)
Authenticate every sending domain: SPF + DKIM + DMARC with alignment; one-click unsubscribe.
Use separate sending domains/inboxes; warm new domains at 5–10/day ramping over 4–6 weeks.
Keep spam complaints < 0.10% and bounces < 2%; verify lists; consistent volume, no spikes.
Optimize on reply rate and positive-reply rate — not opens (open tracking is unreliable).
3.2 Sequence structure
4–7 touchpoints over ~2–3 weeks (a 0 / 3 / 7 / 14-day pattern captures the majority of replies), mixing email + LinkedIn + a call. Email under 80 words; problem-first; one research-based personalized line; a single low-friction CTA (a binary question). Benchmark: average cold-email reply ~3.4%, good 5.5%+, elite 10%+. Step 1 drives ~58% of replies; follow-ups the rest — so always run the full sequence.
3.3 Sample templates
EMAIL 1 — PROBLEM-FIRST (COLD)
Subject: prime cost
Hi [First name] — most [concept] groups your size are reconciling invoices and labor by hand at midnight, then finding the variance two weeks later in the P&L.
We’re a software engineer + 20-year operator who put the back office and the back-of-house on one system — and we’re seeing a point of prime cost come back without touching service.
Worth a 20-minute look at where it’s hiding in [Company]?
EMAIL 2 — FOLLOW-UP (DAY 3, THREADED REPLY)
Quick add, [First name]: we don’t sell a rip-and-replace. We land on one painful workflow — usually AP/invoice automation — prove the number in a 90-day pilot at a few units, then expand. Open to comparing notes?
EMAIL 3 — VALUE / PROOF (DAY 7)
On ~$[X]M across [#] units, a single point of food or labor cost is roughly $[Y]. Happy to share the one-page model we use to size it for an operator like [Company] — want me to send it?
4. Discovery
Run SPIN to drive the conversation and MEDDIC to qualify the pipeline. The highest-leverage move is Implication questions — surfacing the cost of the status quo.
SPIN question bank
Situation — How many units? What POS, scheduling, and accounting systems? Who owns above-store ops?
Problem — Where does the month-end close break down? How current is your prime cost when you see it? How are invoices and schedules built today?
Implication — What does two-week-late variance cost you across [#] units? What does turnover at ~96% cost in re-training? What happens to consistency as you add units?
Need-payoff — If you saw prime cost weekly and AP was 90% automated, what would that be worth? What would one point of margin across the group fund?
MEDDIC qualification checklist
| Element | What to confirm |
|---|---|
| Metrics | The quantified value (prime-cost points, hours saved, $ impact) |
| Economic buyer | Who controls the budget (owner/CFO) |
| Decision criteria | What they’ll judge on (ROI, adoption, risk, integration) |
| Decision process | Steps, stakeholders, timeline to a yes |
| Identify pain | The compelling, owned problem |
| Champion | An internal advocate with influence |
5. Proposals
A proposal is a summation of prior conversations, not a selling document. Structure (after Alan Weiss): situation appraisal; outcome-based objectives; measures of success; value (so the fee feels small); methodology with three escalating options; timing; joint accountabilities; terms (fees appear here, after the value); acceptance.
Always offer three options (good-better-best) — a “choice of yeses,” not a yes/no. Option 2 = Option 1 + one item, ~20–30% higher.
Lead with an executive summary that proves you understood the problem; frame the problem before pricing.
Present the proposal live — it drives materially higher win rates than emailing pricing. Target a 60–80% win rate.
6. Packaging & Pricing Logic
EXPO sells productized services: standardized scope, a fixed price (a number, not a range), and crystal-clear inclusions/exclusions. This lets the business scale beyond the founders and protects margin.
Consulting ladder (land → expand)
| Package | Shape | Role in the funnel |
|---|---|---|
| Readiness Sprint | Fixed-fee, 2–3 wks | The low-commitment land; de-risks the client and prices the rest |
| Transformation Roadmap | Fixed-fee, 6–8 wks | The plan + business case; sets up the pilot |
| Embedded On-Ramp | Fixed-fee pilot, 90 days | Proves the numbers in pilot units |
| Fractional Chief AI & Ops Officer | Monthly retainer | Sustains momentum; the recurring expand |
SaaS tiers (per location / month)
Line · Foundation — AI back-office essentials.
Service · Growth — optimization + agile ops workflows (the recommended tier for mid-size multi-unit).
Command · Franchise — multi-concept command center, volume terms for 100+ units.
Pricing principles
Value-based, not hourly — anchor the fee to the client’s upside (points of prime cost, turnover saved), established with the economic buyer before quoting.
Negotiate scope, not rate — a 10% rate cut erases ~33% of profit; remove deliverables or phase the work instead.
Land for comfort, expand for revenue — most lifetime value is in the retainer + SaaS recurring, not the first project.
EXACT FIGURES
Specific dollar amounts for each package and SaaS tier are maintained in the internal pricing sheet and confirmed with the client during the Readiness Sprint, sized against their actual ROI. The executive pitch deck intentionally omits hard pricing.
7. Objection Handling
| Objection | Response |
|---|---|
| “We already have a POS / tech.” | Good — EXPO orchestrates the tools you own; we’re the operating system on top, not a replacement. |
| “AI isn’t proven in restaurants.” | Agreed — ~95% of AI pilots fail on fit, not tech. That’s why we land on one proven back-office use case and prove it before expanding. |
| “We don’t have time to learn a tool.” | That’s the point — we automate the midnight work and install a cadence that runs in the rush, not the boardroom. |
| “It’s not the right time / budget.” | Start with the Readiness Sprint — fixed scope, fast, and it pays for itself by telling you exactly where the money is. |
| “How do we know it’ll work here?” | We pilot in 3–5 of your units against your baseline, with explicit exit criteria. You decide to scale only after the numbers are in. |
8. Sales KPIs
| Metric | Target / benchmark |
|---|---|
| Pipeline coverage | 2.5–4× of target (mid-market) |
| Win rate (qualified) | 60–80% when presenting live |
| Sales cycle | 30–90 days (Sprint), longer for platform |
| Reply rate (cold) | Good 5.5%+, elite 10%+ |
| Land→expand rate | % of Sprints that convert to Roadmap/Pilot |
| Recurring revenue % | Grow retainer + SaaS share over time |
1. Operating Model & Roles
EXPO is a boutique consulting + SaaS firm run by two partners — a software engineer and a restaurant operator — who both carry business-development and delivery responsibility. The model scales through productized services and the platform, not through headcount. We keep overhead minimal and add roles only when utilization or pipeline demands it.
| Role | Held by | Owns |
|---|---|---|
| Managing Partner — Operations | Operator founder | Client relationships, sales, delivery of the operating-model work, methodology IP. |
| Managing Partner — Technology | Engineer founder | Platform/AI delivery, integrations, data readiness, product roadmap. |
| Delivery Consultant | First hire | Offloads founders on engagement delivery as pipeline grows. |
| Fractional Ops/Admin | Contractor | Finance, contracts, scheduling, invoicing. |
| BD / Marketing support | Contractor | List building, sequencing, content. |
Engagement RACI
R = Responsible · A = Accountable · C = Consulted · I = Informed. One Accountable per row.
| Activity | Partner-Ops | Partner-Tech | Consultant | Client sponsor |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sell & scope | A/R | C | I | C |
| Readiness assessment | A | C | R | C |
| Operating-model design | A/R | C | R | C |
| Platform / AI implementation | C | A/R | R | I |
| Change management | A/R | I | R | C |
| QA / deliverable sign-off | A | A | I | I |
| Invoicing & collections | A | I | I | I |
2. Client Onboarding
A clean, fast onboarding sets the cadence for the whole engagement. Target: kickoff within 5 business days of signature.
Onboarding checklist
Countersigned SOW + deposit invoice issued (30–50% on signature).
Welcome email: named EXPO lead, sponsor, and single point of contact confirmed.
Data-access request sent: read access to POS, payroll, accounting; secure transfer method.
Kickoff call scheduled; stakeholder interview list and calendar holds set.
Shared workspace created (issue log, document folder, KPI scorecard).
Baseline capture: pull the client’s real numbers into the ROI Model and Scorecard.
Cadence set: weekly status call, escalation path, review windows agreed in writing.
DEFINITION OF DONE — ONBOARDING
Onboarding is “done” when data is flowing, the sponsor and POC are confirmed, the baseline is captured, and the weekly cadence has run once. Until then, the clock on deliverables hasn’t truly started.
3. Internal Operating Cadence
EXPO runs its own agile cadence — we practice the methodology we sell.
| Cadence | Frequency | Purpose |
|---|---|---|
| Partner standup | 2×/week, 15 min | Pipeline, active engagements, blockers. |
| Engagement review | Weekly per client | Status vs plan, risks, next deliverables. |
| Pipeline review | Weekly | Stage movement, forecast, next actions. |
| Delivery retro | Per engagement close | What worked / didn’t; capture reusable assets. |
| Business review | Monthly | KPIs, financials, hiring, roadmap. |
4. Delivery Operations
Utilization & capacity
Target billable utilization 70–80% for delivery staff; partners run lower (60–75%) to leave room for BD.
Forecast utilization a quarter ahead; protect a backlog of 3–6 months of contracted work.
Cap concurrent engagements per consultant to protect delivery quality.
Quality control
Quality gates with predefined pass/fail criteria at each engagement stage.
Senior partner sign-off before any deliverable ships; peer review on ROI models (zero formula errors).
Standardized templates and the brand style applied to every external artifact.
Knowledge management
After every engagement, capture decks, models, and reusable assets into the EXPO knowledge library, version-controlled and tagged by package/concept/issue.
Treat reusable IP as a core asset — it is what lets a non-founder deliver and what compounds margin over time.
5. Tooling Stack
| Function | Tool (recommended) | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| CRM | HubSpot or Pipedrive | One source of truth for pipeline |
| Work / projects | Notion, ClickUp, or Asana | Engagement boards, issue logs, KM library |
| Proposals & e-sign | PandaDoc or Proposify | Good-better-best templates, signature |
| Time / billing (PSA) | Ruddr or Harvest | Utilization, realization, invoicing |
| Accounting | QuickBooks or Xero | Invoicing, expenses, financials |
| Scheduling | Calendly | Discovery & cadence calls |
| Docs / decks | Google Workspace + EXPO templates | Deliverables on brand |
6. Business KPIs
The metrics EXPO manages to. Targets are directional benchmarks for a healthy boutique professional-services + SaaS business.
| Metric | Definition | Target |
|---|---|---|
| Pipeline coverage | Open pipeline ÷ target | 2.5–4× |
| Win rate | Won ÷ qualified | 60–80% (live proposals) |
| Billable utilization | Billable ÷ available hours | 70–80% (delivery) |
| Realization rate | Billed ÷ standard rate | ≥ 92% |
| Gross margin | On delivery | > 40% |
| Revenue per consultant | Annualized | > $200K |
| Recurring revenue % | Retainer + SaaS ÷ total | Grow over time |
| Net revenue retention | Expansion vs churn on recurring | > 100% |
| Client NPS | Promoters − detractors | > 50 |
| Land→expand rate | Sprints converting to later phases | Track & grow |
7. Revenue Model
EXPO compounds three revenue streams. The strategic goal is to shift the mix toward recurring (retainer + SaaS) over time, which raises both stability and enterprise value.
Project consulting — Readiness Sprint, Transformation Roadmap, Embedded On-Ramp (fixed-fee, milestone-billed).
Recurring advisory — Fractional Chief AI & Ops Officer retainer.
SaaS platform — per-location/month subscriptions across three tiers.
THE FLYWHEEL
Consulting earns the right to the platform; the platform makes the consulting outcomes durable and recurring. Each engagement should end with a clear path into the retainer and the SaaS subscription — that is where lifetime value and valuation live.
Executive Summary
HEADLINE RESULT
Over a single engagement, Marlowe Hospitality Group moved from maturity Level 2 — Standardized to Level 3 — Measured. EXPO modeled $1,166,172 in annual impact (~2.8% of revenue, ~79.3% of net profit) and the 90-day pilot delivered against its exit criteria — with an estimated first-year payback of ≈ 9× on consulting fees.
Marlowe runs two casual-dining concepts and a wine bar across 14 units. Strong hospitality, but the back office was drowning: invoices keyed by hand, food cost discovered three weeks late on a monthly P&L, and no common scorecard across units. EXPO landed on AP/invoice automation and a food-cost variance engine, installed a weekly prime-cost cadence, and stood up a portfolio dashboard.
1. Client Snapshot
| Attribute | Detail |
|---|---|
| Concepts | 2 casual-dining + 1 wine bar |
| Units | 14 (Mid-Atlantic) |
| Revenue | ~$42M (AUV ~$3.0M) |
| Ownership | Family / partner-owned |
| Back office | Manual AP; monthly close; spreadsheets |
| Systems | Toast POS; ADP payroll; QuickBooks (not integrated) |
The core problem. Food cost had crept to ~33.5% and nobody saw it until the monthly close — three weeks too late to react. Managers spent nights keying invoices instead of running the floor, and there was no consistent scorecard across the 14 units.
2. How We Landed Them (GTM)
Trigger signal. A newly hired Director of Operations posted about “getting our arms around food cost across all units” — a classic above-store consistency signal. EXPO referenced their multi-concept structure in the opener.
The cold email that opened the conversation:
OUTREACH — EMAIL 1
Subject: prime cost
Hi Dana — most multi-concept groups your size only see food cost at the monthly close, by which point the variance is three weeks old and unrecoverable.
We’re a software engineer + 20-year operator who put the back office and the back-of-house on one system — we’re typically seeing a point or two of food cost come back without touching the guest experience.
Worth 20 minutes to see where it’s hiding across Marlowe’s 14?
Discovery call — SPIN highlights
Situation — Toast at unit level, QuickBooks for accounting, no integration; AP keyed by GMs.
Problem — Food cost only visible monthly; vendor price hikes undetected; no common scorecard.
Implication — At ~$42M, even one point of food cost is ~$420K leaking annually, found too late to fix.
Need-payoff — Weekly prime cost + automated AP would free manager nights and stop the leak at the source.
MEDDIC qualification
| Element | Finding |
|---|---|
| Metrics | ~1.5 pts food cost; manager hours on AP |
| Economic buyer | Owner + Director of Ops |
| Decision criteria | ROI, adoption by GMs, low disruption |
| Decision process | Sprint → board readout → pilot in 4 units |
| Identify pain | Late, unrecoverable food-cost variance |
| Champion | Director of Operations |
3. Readiness Sprint (2–3 weeks)
3.1 Current-state findings
AP fully manual: ~1,100 invoices/month keyed by hand; no line-item price tracking.
Food cost reviewed monthly; theoretical-vs-actual not tracked.
No common scorecard; each GM reported differently.
Pre-shift huddles inconsistent; line checks not logged.
Strong culture and tenured GMs — high adoption potential once friction is removed.
3.2 Maturity scorecard (filled)
Scores 1–5 by value stream × dimension. Overall: 1.8 -> Level 2 — Standardized. (Live workbook: the filled Readiness Scorecard in this folder.)
| Value stream | Std | Cad | Data | People | Tech | Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guest-to-Table | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2.4 |
| Plate-to-Profit | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1.6 |
| People-to-Performance | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2.0 |
| Cash-to-Close | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1.2 |
3.3 Prioritized opportunity backlog (RICE)
| Opportunity | Value stream | RICE | Wave |
|---|---|---|---|
| AP / invoice automation | Cash-to-Close | 9.2 | 1 |
| Food-cost variance engine | Plate-to-Profit | 8.6 | 1 |
| Portfolio scorecard + weekly review | Cash-to-Close | 7.4 | 1 |
| Demand-forecasted ordering | Plate-to-Profit | 5.1 | 2 |
| AI labor scheduling | People-to-Performance | 4.3 | 2 |
3.4 ROI model (filled)
Built with the client's actual numbers (live workbook: the filled ROI Model in this folder). Conservative base case:
| Lever | Annual impact |
|---|---|
| Food cost improvement | $630,000 |
| Labor optimization | $420,000 |
| Turnover reduction (50 departures avoided) | $116,172 |
| TOTAL ANNUAL IMPACT | $1,166,172 |
| — as % of revenue | 2.8% |
| — as % of current net profit | 79.3% |
| Impact per unit | $83,298 |
4. Statement of Work (key terms, filled)
| Term | Detail |
|---|---|
| Engagement | Readiness Sprint → Roadmap → 90-day Embedded On-Ramp |
| Pilot units | 4 of 14 (both concepts represented) |
| Outcomes | (1) Weekly prime-cost visibility; (2) ≥90% AP auto-coded; (3) food-cost variance signal live |
| KPIs | Food cost %, AP hours, prime cost, % invoices auto-coded |
| Fees (illustrative) | Sprint $9.5K · Roadmap $28K · Pilot $55K · retainer $6.5K/mo |
| Billing | 30% signature / 30% phase 1 / 20% phase 2 / 20% final · Net 30 |
Full contract built from the EXPO SOW Template; fees shown are illustrative for this worked example.
5. Transformation Roadmap
Chosen option. Option 2 (recommended): back-office automation + the weekly prime-cost operating cadence, piloted in 4 units before portfolio rollout.
Target operating-model moves
Install the weekly prime-cost review and standardized scorecard across pilot units.
Make pre-shift huddles and logged line checks the Definition of Done for every shift.
Integrate Toast + QuickBooks; AP invoices captured and auto-coded.
Stand up the food-cost variance engine (theoretical vs actual).
Phased plan
| Phase | Focus | Outcome |
|---|---|---|
| Land (0–6 mo) | AP automation + scorecard in 4 units | Weekly prime cost live; AP hours cut |
| Expand (6–12 mo) | Roll out to all 14; add forecasting | Food cost trending down portfolio-wide |
| Compound (12 mo+) | Predictive ordering; benchmarking | Units benchmarked; continuous improvement |
6. 90-Day Embedded On-Ramp (Pilot)
Pilot scope. AP/invoice automation and the food-cost variance engine in 4 units, plus the weekly prime-cost cadence and portfolio scorecard. Human-in-the-loop on all invoice coding.
Exit criteria
≥ 90% of invoices auto-coded with review.
≥ 40% reduction in manager hours on AP.
Food-cost variance visible weekly in all 4 pilot units.
Weekly prime-cost review running without EXPO present.
Run log (highlights)
| Window | What happened |
|---|---|
| Days 0–15 | Integrations live; scorecard built; managers trained; baseline captured. |
| Days 15–60 | AP automation running; first weekly prime-cost reviews surface a produce vendor’s price creep — corrected. |
| Days 60–90 | Variance engine flags over-prep at the wine bar; food cost down ~1.2 pts in pilot units; exit review → expand. |
7. Results
| Metric | Before | After | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Food cost % (pilot units) | 33.5% | 32.2% | -1.3 pts |
| Invoices auto-coded | 0% | 93% | +93 pts |
| Manager hrs/wk on AP | ~10 | ~3 | -70% |
| Prime-cost visibility | Monthly | Weekly | Faster signal |
| Maturity level | 2 | 3 | +1 level |
SPONSOR QUOTE
“For the first time we’re fixing food cost the same week it moves, not three weeks later. My GMs got their nights back.” — Director of Operations (hypothetical)
Payback. Modeled annual impact of $1,166,172 against ~$131K of illustrative first-year consulting fees implies roughly a 9× first-year return — before the platform’s ongoing contribution.
8. Expansion & Why It Worked
The expand. Marlowe rolled the platform to all 14 units on the Service · Growth tier and retained EXPO as Fractional Chief AI & Ops Officer to run the portfolio cadence and sequence Wave-2 (forecasting + scheduling).
Why it worked (framework principles in action)
Latency attacked first — weekly prime cost replaced the monthly blind spot.
Landed on the lowest-risk, highest-volume work (AP) and proved it before expanding.
Standards lived in the system and cadence, not in any one GM’s head.
Respected tenured operators by removing friction, not adding a program.
Executive Summary
HEADLINE RESULT
Over a single engagement, Sunbelt QSR Partners moved from maturity Level 3 — Measured to Level 4 — Connected. EXPO modeled $2,987,222 in annual impact (~3.1% of revenue, ~44.7% of net profit) and the 90-day pilot delivered against its exit criteria — with an estimated first-year payback of ≈ 18× on consulting fees.
Sunbelt is a professionalized 62-unit QSR franchisee with solid reporting but a labor problem: labor running hot, hourly turnover near 130%, and District Managers building schedules by gut. EXPO landed on AI demand-matched scheduling and a retention/attrition signal, integrated into the existing stack, with a district-level accountability cadence.
1. Client Snapshot
| Attribute | Detail |
|---|---|
| Concept | Single national QSR brand (franchisee) |
| Units | 62 (Sun Belt, 7 districts) |
| Revenue | ~$95M (AUV ~$1.54M) |
| Ownership | PE-backed multi-unit franchisee |
| Back office | Restaurant365 in place; good reporting |
| Systems | NCR POS; R365; existing scheduling tool (underused) |
The core problem. Labor was the margin killer: ~33% of sales, hourly turnover near 130%, and schedules built on intuition. Drive-thru speed varied widely by district with no shared accountability rhythm.
2. How We Landed Them (GTM)
Trigger signal. A job posting for multiple District Manager roles plus a new VP of Operations signaled scaling pain and above-store reorganization — a strong intent signal for an operating-cadence + labor engagement.
The cold email that opened the conversation:
OUTREACH — EMAIL 1
Subject: labor + turnover
Hi Marcus — at 60+ units, hourly turnover near 130% means you’re re-training the entire crew base roughly every 9 months — and demand-matched scheduling alone is usually a 1–2 point labor swing.
We pair an AI scheduling + retention layer with a district accountability cadence — built by an engineer + a 20-year operator. Worth comparing notes on where Sunbelt’s labor is leaking?
Discovery call — SPIN highlights
Situation — R365 in place, NCR POS, a scheduling tool nobody fully uses; 7 districts.
Problem — Labor ~33%, turnover ~130%, schedules by gut, drive-thru speed inconsistent.
Implication — Turnover at this rate costs well over $500K/yr in replacement alone; labor points are millions.
Need-payoff — AI scheduling + retention signal + a district cadence would move labor and stabilize crews.
MEDDIC qualification
| Element | Finding |
|---|---|
| Metrics | 1–2 pts labor; 10–15 pts turnover |
| Economic buyer | VP Ops + PE operating partner |
| Decision criteria | ROI, speed to value, scalability |
| Decision process | Sprint → exec readout → 8-unit pilot (2 districts) |
| Identify pain | Labor cost + turnover + speed variance |
| Champion | VP of Operations |
3. Readiness Sprint (2–3 weeks)
3.1 Current-state findings
Labor at ~33% with wide unit variance; OT poorly controlled.
Turnover ~130%; no early-warning on at-risk crew.
Scheduling tool present but schedules still built manually by DMs.
Good data foundation (R365) — ready for AI; the gap is People and Tech utilization.
No shared district accountability cadence; speed varied 40+ seconds across districts.
3.2 Maturity scorecard (filled)
Scores 1–5 by value stream × dimension. Overall: 2.9 -> Level 3 — Measured. (Live workbook: the filled Readiness Scorecard in this folder.)
| Value stream | Std | Cad | Data | People | Tech | Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guest-to-Table | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3.2 |
| Plate-to-Profit | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2.8 |
| People-to-Performance | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2.6 |
| Cash-to-Close | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3.0 |
3.3 Prioritized opportunity backlog (RICE)
| Opportunity | Value stream | RICE | Wave |
|---|---|---|---|
| AI demand-matched scheduling | People-to-Performance | 9.0 | 1 |
| Retention / attrition signal | People-to-Performance | 8.1 | 1 |
| District accountability cadence | Guest-to-Table | 7.6 | 1 |
| OT & compliance guardrails | People-to-Performance | 6.2 | 2 |
| Drive-thru speed analytics | Guest-to-Table | 5.0 | 2 |
3.4 ROI model (filled)
Built with the client's actual numbers (live workbook: the filled ROI Model in this folder). Conservative base case:
| Lever | Annual impact |
|---|---|
| Food cost improvement | $477,400 |
| Labor optimization | $1,909,600 |
| Turnover reduction (260 departures avoided) | $600,222 |
| TOTAL ANNUAL IMPACT | $2,987,222 |
| — as % of revenue | 3.1% |
| — as % of current net profit | 44.7% |
| Impact per unit | $48,181 |
4. Statement of Work (key terms, filled)
| Term | Detail |
|---|---|
| Engagement | Readiness Sprint → Roadmap → 90-day Embedded On-Ramp |
| Pilot units | 8 of 62 (2 districts) |
| Outcomes | (1) −1.5 pts labor in pilot; (2) at-risk crew flagged weekly; (3) district cadence live |
| KPIs | Labor %, OT %, turnover, speed of service, schedule adherence |
| Fees (illustrative) | Sprint $14K · Roadmap $38K · Pilot $75K · retainer $9K/mo |
| Billing | 30% signature / 30% phase 1 / 20% phase 2 / 20% final · Net 30 |
Full contract built from the EXPO SOW Template; fees shown are illustrative for this worked example.
5. Transformation Roadmap
Chosen option. Option 3 (recommended): AI scheduling + retention layer on top of R365, plus a district accountability cadence — piloted in 2 districts.
Target operating-model moves
Deploy AI demand-matched scheduling with OT/compliance guardrails.
Stand up the retention/attrition signal with a manager intervention playbook.
Install a weekly district business review (the above-store cadence).
Make schedule adherence and speed part of the district scorecard.
Phased plan
| Phase | Focus | Outcome |
|---|---|---|
| Land (0–6 mo) | AI scheduling + retention in 2 districts | Labor down; at-risk crew flagged |
| Expand (6–12 mo) | Roll to all 7 districts | Turnover trending down system-wide |
| Compound (12 mo+) | Predictive P&L; speed analytics | Districts benchmarked; speed normalized |
6. 90-Day Embedded On-Ramp (Pilot)
Pilot scope. AI demand-matched scheduling and the retention signal across 8 units in 2 districts, with the weekly district business review and OT guardrails. Human-in-the-loop on schedule approval.
Exit criteria
≥ 1.5 pts labor reduction in pilot units vs baseline.
At-risk crew flagged weekly with manager playbook in use.
District business review running without EXPO present.
No degradation in drive-thru speed or guest scores.
Run log (highlights)
| Window | What happened |
|---|---|
| Days 0–15 | R365 + scheduling integrated; baseline captured; DMs trained on the cadence. |
| Days 15–60 | AI schedules live; OT flagged and trimmed; retention signal surfaces 9 at-risk crew — 5 retained via intervention. |
| Days 60–90 | Labor down ~1.7 pts in pilot; speed variance narrowed; exit review → roll to all districts. |
7. Results
| Metric | Before | After | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Labor % (pilot units) | 33.0% | 31.3% | -1.7 pts |
| Hourly turnover (annualized) | 130% | 112% | -18 pts |
| Overtime % of labor | High | Controlled | Guardrails on |
| Drive-thru speed variance | 40s+ | <15s | Normalized |
| Maturity level | 3 | 4 | +1 level |
SPONSOR QUOTE
“The schedule used to be a DM’s best guess. Now it’s demand-matched and the at-risk list tells us who to save before they quit.” — VP of Operations (hypothetical)
Payback. Modeled annual impact of $2,987,222 against ~$165K of illustrative first-year consulting fees implies roughly an 18× first-year return — with turnover and labor being the dominant levers.
8. Expansion & Why It Worked
The expand. Sunbelt rolled out to all 7 districts on the Command · Franchise tier and retained EXPO on a fractional basis to govern the rollout and sequence predictive P&L and speed analytics.
Why it worked (framework principles in action)
Targeted the biggest dollar levers verified by data (labor + turnover), not hype use cases.
Leveraged an existing clean data foundation (R365) so AI could land fast.
Added a district chain-of-help cadence so the gains stuck above store.
Piloted in 2 districts with explicit exit criteria before a 62-unit commitment.
Executive Summary
HEADLINE RESULT
Over a single engagement, Verde Fast-Casual Co. moved from maturity Level 1 — Heroic to Level 2 — Standardized. EXPO modeled $252,426 in annual impact (~2.3% of revenue, ~37.9% of net profit) and the 90-day pilot delivered against its exit criteria — with an estimated first-year payback of ≈ 4× on consulting fees.
Verde is a beloved 6-unit fast-casual concept whose founder still is the operating system — nothing documented, quality traveling with his presence. Growth was diluting consistency. EXPO’s job here was foundational: install inspectable standards and a basic operating cadence, with light AP automation as the only Wave-1 AI. The win was a repeatable operation that survives the founder not being in the building.
1. Client Snapshot
| Attribute | Detail |
|---|---|
| Concept | Fast-casual Mexican |
| Units | 6 (one metro) |
| Revenue | ~$11M (AUV ~$1.85M) |
| Ownership | Founder-led (still in stores daily) |
| Back office | Founder + bookkeeper; mostly manual |
| Systems | Square POS; Gusto payroll; spreadsheets |
The core problem. The founder was the system. No documented SOPs, quality varied by which unit he visited that week, and onboarding new managers took months. The 4th, 5th, and 6th units exposed the cracks: checklist drift, inconsistent ops, and a founder stretched thin.
2. How We Landed Them (GTM)
Trigger signal. An inbound referral — the founder told a peer he was “drowning trying to be everywhere.” The opener led with the 2nd-location-test framing and the staged breakpoints at 3–7 units.
The cold email that opened the conversation:
OUTREACH — EMAIL 1
Subject: being everywhere
Hi Sofia — most great 6-unit concepts hit the same wall: the founder is the standard, so quality dips the minute you’re not in the building. It’s not a people problem, it’s a system problem.
We help founder-led groups make the operation repeatable — inspectable standards, a simple daily rhythm, and we automate the invoice grind. Worth a short call on making Verde run without you in every store?
Discovery call — SPIN highlights
Situation — Square POS, Gusto, spreadsheets; founder + a part-time bookkeeper.
Problem — No SOPs; quality varies by unit; manager onboarding is slow; founder overloaded.
Implication — Every new unit dilutes the concept and pulls the founder thinner; growth stalls.
Need-payoff — Inspectable standards + a daily cadence would let Verde grow without the founder in every store.
MEDDIC qualification
| Element | Finding |
|---|---|
| Metrics | Onboarding time; consistency; founder hours |
| Economic buyer | Founder / owner |
| Decision criteria | Simplicity, low disruption, fast value |
| Decision process | Sprint → founder readout → pilot in 2 units |
| Identify pain | Owner-as-system; growth diluting quality |
| Champion | Founder + best-performing GM |
3. Readiness Sprint (2–3 weeks)
3.1 Current-state findings
No documented SOPs; standards live in the founder’s head.
Pre-shift and line checks done inconsistently and never logged.
AP and reconciliation fully manual; the founder approves every invoice.
No scorecard; the founder ‘knows’ how units are doing by visiting.
Genuine culture and loyalty — the foundation is people-strong, system-weak.
3.2 Maturity scorecard (filled)
Scores 1–5 by value stream × dimension. Overall: 1.3 -> Level 1 — Heroic. (Live workbook: the filled Readiness Scorecard in this folder.)
| Value stream | Std | Cad | Data | People | Tech | Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guest-to-Table | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1.6 |
| Plate-to-Profit | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1.2 |
| People-to-Performance | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1.4 |
| Cash-to-Close | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 |
3.3 Prioritized opportunity backlog (RICE)
| Opportunity | Value stream | RICE | Wave |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operating-standards library (SOPs) | Cash-to-Close | 8.8 | 1 |
| Daily cadence: huddle + line check | Guest-to-Table | 8.4 | 1 |
| AP / invoice automation (light) | Cash-to-Close | 7.0 | 1 |
| Simple unit scorecard | Cash-to-Close | 6.1 | 1 |
| Demand forecasting | Plate-to-Profit | 3.4 | 2 |
3.4 ROI model (filled)
Built with the client's actual numbers (live workbook: the filled ROI Model in this folder). Conservative base case:
| Lever | Annual impact |
|---|---|
| Food cost improvement | $111,000 |
| Labor optimization | $111,000 |
| Turnover reduction (13 departures avoided) | $30,426 |
| TOTAL ANNUAL IMPACT | $252,426 |
| — as % of revenue | 2.3% |
| — as % of current net profit | 37.9% |
| Impact per unit | $42,071 |
4. Statement of Work (key terms, filled)
| Term | Detail |
|---|---|
| Engagement | Readiness Sprint → Roadmap → 90-day Embedded On-Ramp |
| Pilot units | 2 of 6 |
| Outcomes | (1) Inspectable SOPs live; (2) daily cadence logged; (3) AP automated; (4) basic scorecard |
| KPIs | Cadence adherence, manager onboarding time, AP hours, food cost |
| Fees (illustrative) | Sprint $7.5K · Roadmap $18K · Pilot $38K · retainer $4.5K/mo |
| Billing | 40% signature / 30% phase 1 / 30% final · Net 30 |
Full contract built from the EXPO SOW Template; fees shown are illustrative for this worked example.
5. Transformation Roadmap
Chosen option. Option 1 (recommended): foundations first — standards + daily cadence + light AP automation. No heavy AI until Level 2 is solid.
Target operating-model moves
Build the operating-standards library: inspectable SOPs for open, close, prep, and line check.
Install the daily cadence: pre-shift huddle + logged line check as the Definition of Done.
Automate AP so the founder stops approving every invoice by hand.
Stand up a one-page unit scorecard so performance is visible without a store visit.
Phased plan
| Phase | Focus | Outcome |
|---|---|---|
| Land (0–6 mo) | SOPs + cadence + AP in 2 units | Operation runs without the founder present |
| Expand (6–12 mo) | Roll to all 6; manager certification | Onboarding faster; consistency up |
| Compound (12 mo+) | Add forecasting; prep for unit 7+ | Ready to scale without dilution |
6. 90-Day Embedded On-Ramp (Pilot)
Pilot scope. Operating-standards library, the daily huddle + logged line check, light AP automation, and a one-page scorecard in 2 units — designed to prove the concept runs without the founder in the building.
Exit criteria
Inspectable SOPs in use; line checks logged every shift.
Daily huddle running without the founder present.
AP invoices automated; founder approves by exception only.
Manager onboarding time measurably reduced.
Run log (highlights)
| Window | What happened |
|---|---|
| Days 0–15 | SOP library drafted with the best GM; cadence installed; Square + Gusto data organized. |
| Days 15–60 | Founder spends a full week out of the pilot units — quality holds for the first time; AP automated. |
| Days 60–90 | Onboarding a new shift lead drops from ~8 weeks to ~3; exit review → roll to all 6 units. |
7. Results
| Metric | Before | After | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Documented SOPs | 0 | Full set | Standards exist |
| Manager onboarding time | ~8 wks | ~3 wks | -60% |
| Line checks logged | Rarely | Every shift | Consistent |
| Founder hrs in-store/wk | ~60 | ~40 | Freed to lead |
| Maturity level | 1 | 2 | +1 level |
SPONSOR QUOTE
“I took a week away from two stores and the quality held. That has never happened. Verde is finally a system, not just me.” — Founder (hypothetical)
Payback. Modeled annual impact of $252,426 against ~$64K of illustrative first-year consulting fees implies roughly a 4× first-year return — but the real prize is a concept that can finally scale without diluting quality.
8. Expansion & Why It Worked
The expand. Verde rolled standards to all 6 units on the Line · Foundation tier and kept EXPO on a light retainer to certify managers and prepare the operation for units 7–10.
Why it worked (framework principles in action)
Met the operator where they were — foundations (standards + cadence) before any heavy AI.
Moved exactly one maturity level; skipped foundations are why scaling fails.
Made standards inspectable so they survive the founder’s absence and turnover.
Respected a people-strong culture by reducing friction, not importing complexity.